The Factory · its record
Danube
Bitcoin · daily candles · fixed stops · prices from Hyperliquid. Found by BotFactoryFX in the October hunt on 15 October 2026; in quarantine since 15 October 2026.
Why “Danube”. Trend, so a river: the Danube crosses ten countries, more than any other. Like bitcoin, it belongs to none.
Simulated, no real money. Its backtest and its quarantine run on a simulated account; no order is sent to any broker. Its rules, settings and code are not published: this record shows what it did, not how it decides.
Its backtest
What the strategy did on the history it was tested on, from 19 October 2017 to 12 October 2026, as BotFactoryFX measured it when it went into quarantine, with the costs it pays there. A simulated account of 10,000 in the market’s currency, with a fixed size; every figure in % of that account.
- Trades
- 119 in 9.0 years, 1.1 a month
- Won
- 70%
- Profit factor
- 4.86
- Result
- +253.3%
- Worst drawdown
- −11.1%
- Average per trade
- +2.13%
- Average win · average loss
- +3.84% · −1.82%
- Best trade · worst trade
- +18.89% · −11.10%
- Longest losing streak
- 4 trades in a row
- Years in loss
- 1 of 10
The result, trade after trade
Its drawdowns
How far below its previous high it was at each closed trade: what you would have had to sit through.
Year by year
The first and the last year are only part of a year.
| Year | Trades | Result | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 7 | +15.6% | |
| 2018 | 8 | +2.5% | |
| 2019 | 13 | −1.6% | |
| 2020 | 19 | +29.2% | |
| 2021 | 17 | +95.4% | |
| 2022 | 10 | +4.8% | |
| 2023 | 9 | +9.2% | |
| 2024 | 17 | +60.5% | |
| 2025 | 7 | +21.2% | |
| 2026 | 12 | +16.6% |
How it was found and judged
BotFactoryFX found it in the October hunt on 15 October 2026, the best of 2,306 candidate rule sets that search tried on Bitcoin, daily candles.
- Judge’s score
- 78/100 · Solid
- On a similar market
- Ethereum: 61/100 · Fragile
- Judged on
- history the search never saw, from 2024
- History it was found on
- from August 2017 to October 2026
On Ethereum, its similar market, the judge gave it 61, Fragile. It went into quarantine on 15 October 2026; it would not pass the bar we use today, Solid on both markets.
The judge is BotFactoryFX’s Reality Check: 13 checks on the strategy, nine of them on history the search never saw. Our bar to put one in quarantine is Solid, 75 or more, on its own market and again on a similar one, judged from the same date.
The search kept its score but not its check-by-check report. On 1 November 2026 we judged it again with the current version of the judge, which has changed since it went in: it scored 74, Fragile. Since that is not the score it went in with, the report is not shown.
Live, in quarantine
Since 15 October 2026, on prices it had never seen, with closed trades only.
Quarantine verdict: No trades yet
| Its backtest promised | Live so far | |
|---|---|---|
| Trades | 119 in 9 years | 0 in 24 days |
| Won | 70% | — |
| Profit factor | 4.86 | — |
| Result | +253.3% | — |
| Worst drawdown | −11.1% | — |
At its backtest’s pace, by now it would have closed about 0.9 trades and made +1.8%.
Its closed trades
No closed trades yet.